Since the theme of the last couple of posts has been misreported events giving rise to stories of the paranormal, it makes sense that this one should be about someone who has done sterling work in getting to the truth behind such stories. In their ideal forms, the roles of journalists and historians are similar: establishing with reasonable certainty what exactly happened, why and how, and placing the events into a wider context of significance and influence. This means a lot of legwork and research, so people who are quite lazy, like me, always appreciate it when it’s done properly. Unfortunately, because so many people, many of them journalists, are just as lazy as I am, what more usually happens is that a story is picked up and simply regurgitated without going through any critical evaluation.
Perhaps the best example of this is the legend of the Bermuda Triangle. Put simply, a lot of people believe that there is an area between Florida, Bermuda and Puerto Rico that has an unusually high incidence of unexplained disappearances and freak navigational glitches. The story is usually backed up with examples of aircraft and ships that have supposedly vanished without trace in good weather and with no distress message being received. Almost everybody starts with the infamous Flight 19, a U.S. Navy training exercise that went tragically wrong in December, 1945.
For something that has so pervaded the public consciousness, it seems impossible that the legend could be anything other than of immemorial age, but in fact it dates back only as far as the 1950s. The term ‘Bermuda Triangle’ first appears in an article written for the magazine Argosy by Vincent Gaddis in February 1964, but the first inklings of a mystery were presented by Edward Van Winkle Jones in an associated Press article of 17th September, 1950. Incidentally, in searching for the full text of that article I’ve found three different dates for its publication, which only goes to show how difficult it is to pin down any facts in this case. Ever since Jones’ article, a whole vast industry has been building up, dedicated to publishing and republishing stories of various ships and aircraft that have vanished in the general area of Bermuda. Most of these follow a general consensus that something strange is going on there, but is there really?
Enter journalist and pilot Lawrence J. “Larry” Kusche, who is a man after my own heart. Faced with an enormous body of largely unprovenanced folklore, he did what any historian worth his salt would do and set out to track down as many of the facts in each disappearance as he could. He went back to contemporary newspaper accounts of disappearances, the records of official bodies, most notably the U.S. Weather Bureau, statistics of shipping and aircraft losses, the reports of inquiries and the Lloyds register of shipping. What he did not do was to repeat with embellishment stories that had already appeared in Triangle literature. His findings should be unsurprising.
In many cases, disappearances occurred outside the traditional area of the Bermuda Triangle. A classic example is the Mary Celeste, which set out for New York and was found drifting 500 miles east of the Azores, having never passed within sight of the Triangle. This is usually explained away by positing a larger area extending to the Azores, which is dangerously close to making “The Bermuda Triangle” a synonym for “the sea”. Some ships discussed in the sensationalist literature, such as Lotta, Viego and Miramon, could not even be proven to have existed in the first place. In other cases, weather that had been reported as good by other investigators proved to have been bad to terrible in the accounts of the official weather bureau or contemporary newspapers. The Coast Guard reports into the loss of the Marine Sulphur Queen in February, 1963 could only not conclude a definite cause because of the sheer number of plausible rational explanations they uncovered. In the case of Flight 19, Kusche devoted an entire book to his investigation, which concluded, as did the initial U.S. Navy board of inquiry, that the flight leader became disoriented, decided that he was south of Florida when he was in fact east of it and led his men on a rambling course trending generally northward until they ran out of fuel and ditched in heavy seas. The most damning fact I leave to last. Statistically, disappearances and losses in the area of the Bermuda Triangle form no greater a proportion of total traffic than in any other region. The number of vanishing aircraft and ships is so high there because it’s among the most travelled stretches of ocean in the world. This only emphasises a comment by one sceptic, reported in a history.com article on the subject, that “trying to find a common cause for every Bermuda Triangle disappearance is no more logical than trying to find a common cause for every automobile accident in Arizona”.
So why do I believe this writer’s version of events over those presented by other writers and on television? It’s quite simple really. Kusche goes to reliable sources. He evaluates his sources for trustworthiness, presents the details he finds and tells his readers what he concluded. His investigation is transparent and he only uses facts that can be independently verified from primary sources. From methodology alone a reader can have confidence that the author isn’t trying to pull a fast one. Where he does find an inexplicable mystery, he admits the lack of evidence and moves on, and if he has his facts wrong we can find out because he reveals a clear chain of transmission for them. In a field that can generate vast sums for people prepared to feed the legend, the temptation is very great to repeat stories uncritically, leave out important details and otherwise dupe a reader into false conclusions. Kusche even reports in The Bermuda Triangle Mystery Solved an incident in which a tabloid newspaper openly admitted not referring to his book because it provided rational explanations. The real lesson of his investigations can therefore best be summed up in his own introduction to that work:
Like the body, the mind must be properly exercised or it will become flabby. It must be fed a nutritious diet of accurate information and proper logic. Given inaccurate facts and faulty logic, its powers will decline.
My concern is not so much the mysteries of the Bermuda Triangle, but rather, the mental processes by which people make decisions about such topics. My purpose is to encourage people to think more critically, to be more skeptical, to be more concerned about the quality of what goes into their minds.
…topics of this sort often do have logical answers, if only we work hard enough to find them.
A mystery should be a challenge to investigation. The purpose of research is to solve mysteries, not prolong them.